---
type: event-preview
status: draft
event: <FOMC | US CPI | NFP | ECB | SNB | BoJ | ...>
event-date: YYYY-MM-DD
tier: 1
author: Dennis Elgegren
---

# Event Preview — <EVENT_NAME> — <DATE>

**400-600 words. Tier 1: always previewed. Tier 2: only if relevant to a current position.**

## What's priced

OIS / fed funds futures implied move. Market consensus.

## Your skew

How does your view differ from consensus? Direction and magnitude.

## Asymmetry

Where is the payoff convex? What's the cheap tail?

## The trade (or explicit "no trade")

Concrete structure, with link to thesis if entering. If no trade, say why — discipline demonstration.

## Invalidation

What fact would kill the trade before / at the event?